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Using Trainer Angles Effectively When Handicapping and Betting on Horse Races

Trainer corners have become the new speed figures in horse racing. Just as the speed numbers attracted a lot of attention and highlighted some nice winners when they were first introduced, the trainer angles have become popular and have revealed some good bets. Many past shows now stock them and you’ll find them in the papers offering hoes and advertising specific horses. The only problem, of course, is that many people use them now.

Statistics usually tell you how often the conditioner is successful in a particular move, such as dropping a horse in class, as a percentage, for example 36%. In other words, that trainer lost a horse in class and won 36% of the time in the process. Along with that percentage, you’ll also find an ROI figure that will tell you how much profit you’d make on those bets if you bet on every horse the trainer dropped in the class. A positive ROI seems to indicate a good bet when you find a trainer making that move today, but like many things in horse racing handicapping, it can be deceiving.

That ROI was earned before the trainer move became a well-known fact and before so many people started playing it. As it became more widely used and the numbers grew, the public increasingly jumped on those bets. In fact, if the horse goes missing today, it may be a bad bet. Just seeing a positive ROI doesn’t mean you can make money betting on those runners.

The truth is that almost every single move by a coach you see in a past performance will be invested and become a bad bet with few exceptions. One exception is when a horse looks so matched that most punters give up on it despite the trainer’s angle. An example would be a trainer who takes a horse that has faded a lot and adds a tongue tie to it today. Maybe with that equipment move you know the trainer has a 36% winning average, but since the horse went from first to last in the series, you feel he can’t improve that much today.

The truth is, however, that he was suffocating in his own language and that’s why he stopped. In this case, despite his terrible performance last time out, he can still win and pay well enough to be a profitable bet. This means that the only way to make a profit on trainer angles is to bet on the horses that need the most improvement that also have an angle to them. It is a risky way to make money betting on horses and you will have a lot of ups and downs.

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